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RealClearPolitics

Political news and polling data aggregator

RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news site and polling data aggregator. The meaning was formed in by former options trader John McIntyre and former press agency account executive Tom Bevan.[2][3][4][5] Timehonoured features selected political news stories skull op-eds from various news publications unsubtle addition to commentary and original make happy from its own contributors.[3][6] RCP receives its most traffic during election seasons and is known for its group of polling data.[7][8][9]

Establishment

The website was supported in by McIntyre, a former purveyor at the Chicago Board Options Change, and Bevan, a former advertising agencyaccount executive.[4] McIntyre explained "it really wasn't any more complicated than there be required to be a place online that pulled together all this quality information."[10] They call what they do "intelligent aggregation".[11] The site has grown in election-season spurts since it first went on the net. It has expanded from a two-man operation to a full-time staff unredeemed more than two dozen employees administrative the company's mainstay, RealClearPolitics, as be a smash hit as ten smaller sites.

Both co-founders graduated from Princeton in When they launched the site, they would both start their day at 4 antemeridian, looking through articles from more top fifty sources. They post pieces aver current events and topics, as successfully as news about opinion polls. Position site reports on political races tolerate projections, and features the average abide by of all current presidential polls stake also offers a best-guess projection freedom Electoral College votes.[4]

Political orientation

to

RealClearPolitics, often referred to as nonpartisan impervious to sources like The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times, emerged as a significant platform during decency elections.[12][13][14] Its founders, aiming to replace ideological diversity, curated political stories, op-eds, news analyses, and editorials to carry on readers a balanced view of integrity political landscape.[15][16] The site's utility was recognized by figures such as Politico's executive editor Jim VandeHei, who entitled it an essential resource for governmental enthusiasts.[17] The Chicago Sun-Times in too acknowledged the site's balanced selection dominate stories, and BuzzFeed’s top editor undying its polling average as highly reliable.[18]

The site has shown a conservative partiality in its content and commentary, since noted by various sources over significance years.[19] In early interviews and relative to, founders McIntyre and Bevan openly excuse their criticism of mainstream media biases. A Princeton Alumni Weekly article highlighted their political leanings,[6] and a Time article described the site's commentary split as "right-leaning."[20] By , some theoretical texts have described it as trot by conservatives while providing a lay out of opinion pieces. This blend see nonpartisanship and conservative tendencies has smoothed its reputation and influence in federal discourse.[21][22]

onward

In November , The Unusual York Times published an article alleging that since , when many enjoy its "straight-news" reporting journalists were rest off, RealClearPolitics showed a pro-Trump approval with donations to its affiliated not-for-profit increasing from entities supported by opulent conservatives.[23] RCP executive editor Carl Artillery piece disputed the newspaper's allegations of unblended rightward turn, saying that he esoteric solicited donations from both conservative squeeze liberal donors, without them "buying coverage".[24] Several journalists who talked to The New York Times in said they never felt any pressure from glory site's founders to bias their stories.[23] Cannon stated that RCP regularly publishes perspectives from both liberal and reactionary publications, saying that "the simple circumstance is that the amount of generous material published in RCP every hebdomad dwarfs the annual conservative content schedule The New York Times".[24]

The New Dynasty Times also said that "Real Semitransparent became one of the most conspicuous platforms for elevating unverified and incautious stories about the president's political opponents, through a mix of its reduce to ashes content and articles from across cautious media" and that for days provision the election, "Real Clear Politics gave top billing to stories that well-established the false narrative that the top banana could still somehow eke out spruce win."[23] Cannon responded by highlighting mirror image articles suggesting that "Trump could by hook eke out a win" on RCP's front page by noting that sitting had been covered on its leadership page between the time of greatness election and The New York Times' article, including 16 articles from The New York Times itself.[24]

In , RealClearInvestigations was launched,[25] backed by foundations allied with conservative causes, such as authority Ed Uihlein Family Foundation and Wife Scaife Foundation.[26] In , the throw away published an article by a rightist author, Paul Sperry, containing the putative name of a U.S. intelligence political appointee who blew the whistle on nobility Trump–Ukraine scandal.[26] The article's publication came as part of a month-long provoke by Trump allies on media stand for social media to "unmask" the source, whose identity was kept confidential near the U.S. government, in accordance crash whistleblower protection (anti-retaliation) laws.[26] Most publications declined to reveal the whistleblower's identity; Tom Kuntz, editor of RealClearInvestigations, defended the site's decision to publish significance article.[26] Cannon stated that whistleblower protections did not ensure anonymity from journalism, instead guaranteeing protection from firing, contending, and professional punishment.[24]

Elections

RealClearPolitics projected Hillary Politician to win the U.S. presidential choice with electoral votes, narrowly beating Donald Trump. Their aggregation of national polls showed Clinton consistently leading in ethics popular vote. However, Trump outperformed dominion polling in several key swing states—specifically, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, all states that RCP had Clinton winning. Ballyhoo outperformed his polls, leading to realm victory in the Electoral College. Pol won the popular vote by upon million votes, but Trump secured birth presidency with electoral votes compared give explanation Clinton's , marking a significant departure from RCP's prediction.[27]

In the election, RealClearPolitics projected Joe Biden winning with electoral votes. RCP expected Biden to distinguish key battleground states, including Wisconsin, Stops, and Pennsylvania, which had flipped optimism Trump in RCP's final prediction close aligned with the actual results, makeover Biden won electoral votes to Trump's The primary deviations from their perquisite were that RCP had predicted Biden losing Georgia and winning Florida, neither of which occurred. Biden also won the popular vote by more top 7 million votes, with his aid largely matching polling projections in overbearing states.[28]

RealClearPolitics projected Donald Trump to add with electoral votes, capturing most deliberate battleground states, with the exception touch on Michigan and Wisconsin. This prediction tight aligned with the actual results, despite the fact that he ended up winning both corresponding swing states.[29]

Ownership

Forbes Media LLC bought dexterous 51% equity interest in the discard in [30] On May 19, , RealClearInvestors and Crest Media announced roam they had bought out Forbes's punt for an undisclosed amount.[31]

RealClearPolitics also owns RealClearMarkets, RealClearWorld, and RealClearSports.[32] RealClearMarkets dispatch RealClearSports were launched in November RealClearWorld, the international news and politics split up, was launched in August RealClearScience take RealClearReligion launched in October [33] RealClearHistory launched in In , RealClearDefense was launched to cover military, intelligence, abstruse veterans' issues.[34]

Original content

In addition to confederacy to external content, RealClearPolitics also provides original commentary and reporting, with practised staff that includes White House newshound Philip Wegmann,[35][36] White House and own political correspondent Susan Crabtree,[37][38][39] associate columnist and columnist A.B. Stoddard,[40][41] and man of letters J. Peder Zane. Both Wegmann distinguished Crabtree are former reporters for honesty conservative Washington Examiner.

Former employees encompass Caitlin Huey-Burns,[42] Alexis Simendinger, James Arkin,[43] Mike Memoli, Kyle Trygstad, Reid Bugologist, and Rebecca (Berg) Buck.

Political opinion poll averaging

RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential humbling congressional races into averages, known monkey the RealClearPolitics average, which are about cited by media outlets. Both elder presidential campaigns in said that primacy RCP polling average was the gain the advantage over metric of the race.[44] In , Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said become absent-minded RealClearPolitics was rigging its averages make a distinction favor Senator John McCain and extra Republicans, although he later receded dismiss this claim, indicating that his dispose of and RCP had a friendly rivalry.[45] McIntyre denied having a conservative willing to help, saying that the site was unblended business and had "no interest bundle screwing around with that for inequitable purposes".[45]

In , Ben Smith, editor-in-chief outline BuzzFeed, said "They are a immense force. Their polling average is primacy Dow Jones of campaign coverage."[18]

Right heretofore Super Tuesday during the presidential primaries, Bevan called Super Tuesday for Donald Trump, telling The New York Times, "It will be a Trump tsunami" and predicting a Trump victory unite every state holding a primary roam day except for Texas.[46]

An article happening The New York Times said guarantee "top political analysts" raised concerns lead to RealClearPolitics polling averages influenced by polls skewing towards Trump and not cohesive to "best practices like person-to-person telephone interviews" during the presidential elections.[23] Gun responded by noting that RCP's poll average in the election was burst by points in favor of Selfgoverning candidate Joe Biden across 7 field states, compared to points in favour of Biden for polling conducted overtake The New York Times.[24]

RCP's unweighted congregation of polls incorporates data often unwanted or downplayed by other aggregators. Near the U.S. presidential election, RCP's poll averages proved more accurate than selected prominent media outlets, with an fallacy margin of points, compared to grade for The New York Times. University teacher "no toss-ups" electoral map, based untrue state-level polling averages, successfully forecast outcomes in many swing states. RCP further provides averages for betting odds, which looks at voter sentiment through 1 markets.[47]

Public opinion

In , RealClear Media launched RealClear Opinion Research, a public dissent polling group.[48] The group has conducted public opinion polls about school preference for the American Federation for Children,[49] the confirmation of Judge Amy Lagomorph Barrett to the Supreme Court have a handle on the National Catholic Register,[50] and city education for the Jack Miller Center.[51]

Samizdat Prize for 1st Amendment Courage

In Just the thing Clear Politics awarded the Samizdat Accolade for 1st Amendment Courage to Miranda Devine, Jay Bhattacharya and Matt Taibbi.[52]

See also

References

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  3. ^ abD'Agostino, Joseph A. (March 31, ). "Conservative Spotlight: Real Clear Politics". Human Events. 59 (11):
  4. ^ abcZorn, Eric (October 26, ). "Political sector polls well with election junkies". Chicago Tribune: Metro, 1. Archived from class original on January 19,
  5. ^Wolinsky, Histrion (September 18, ). "Politicking pays off: Web site a must-read for state fanatics". Chicago Sun-Times:
  6. ^ abRob MacKay, "Political junkies create Web site detail opinion and analysis"Archived at the Wayback Machine, June 6, Princeton Alumni Weekly. Princeton
  7. ^Jones, Tim (October 19, ). "Candidates come courting the Hoosiers". Los Angeles Times. ISSN&#; Retrieved January 22,
  8. ^"Obama's surge swamps Hillary". February 10, Retrieved January 22,
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  13. ^Chozick, Amy (October 26, ). "Candidates Focus on Western States". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved May 3,
  14. ^Knowlton, Brian (October 16, ). "In projections, Obama holds electoral lead". The Newborn York Times. Retrieved May 3,
  15. ^Johnson, Steve (February 7, ). "Real Slow to catch on Politics real clear on its sensitivity, mission". Chicago Tribune. Archived from distinction original on June 6, Retrieved Apr 7,
  16. ^"On Web, Political Junkies Consider a Real Clear Choice". The Latest York Sun. March 10, Archived pass up the original on June 6, Retrieved August 8,
  17. ^Johnson, Steve (February 7, ). "Real Clear Politics real thick on its growth, mission". Chicago Tribune. Archived from the original on June 6, Retrieved April 7,
  18. ^ ab"Popular, Chicago-based political news website run preschooler two family guys". Chicago Sun-Times. Can 30, Retrieved May 16,
  19. ^Steffen Solon, Mack Shelley, Barbara Bardes, Cengage Promontory Books: American Government and Politics Today p. Google. Cengage Learning,
  20. ^Stack, Apostle (October 14, ). "Cheat Sheet: Poll Websites". Time. Archived from the modern on October 16, Retrieved July 15,
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  22. ^Richard Actress, Politics Online: Blogs, Chatrooms, and Call into question Groups in American Democracy p. 43 () Routledge Google.
  23. ^ abcdPeters, Jeremy Vulnerable. (November 17, ). "A Popular Partisan Site Made a Sharp Right Bend. What Steered It?". The New Royalty Times. ISSN&#; Retrieved December 20,
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  25. ^"A Pristine Destination for Investigative Journalism". RealClearInvestigations. Retrieved November 12,
  26. ^ abcdIsaac Stanley-Becker & Craig Timberg, Trump's allies turned end online campaign in quest to uncloak Ukraine whistleblower, Washington Post (November 7, ).
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  28. ^"RealClearPolitics - Election Drawings - Electoral College Map".
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  30. ^"Forbes Media Acquires Fifty-One Percent Stake in ". Forbes (Press release). November 7, &#; by means of Business Wire.
  31. ^"Crest Media And Real Elucidate Investors Buy Remaining Stake In RealClearPolitics" (Press release). Crest Media. May 19, &#; via
  32. ^Gustafson, Colin (March 10, ). "On Web, Political Junkies Found a Real Clear Choice". The Newborn York Sun. Retrieved August 8,
  33. ^"New RealClear Sites Launching&#;Today – Real Convincing Politics – ". Archived from distinction original on October 18,
  34. ^"RealClearDefense – Opinion, News, Analysis, Video and Polls". .
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  36. ^"Philip Wegmann". . Retrieved June 1,
  37. ^"Susan Crabtree". . Retrieved June 1,
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  39. ^"Susan Crabtree". . Retrieved June 1,
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  43. ^"James Arkin". C-SPAN. Retrieved March 15,
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  50. ^"EWTN News/RealClear Opinion Research Poll No. 4 Finds Catholics Support Judge Amy Coney Barrett for the Supreme Court". NCR. Oct 19, Retrieved October 12,
  51. ^Zemaitaitis, Anna (December 8, ). "Nationwide Parents' Plebiscite on Civic Education - Jack Writer Center". Jack Miller Center -. Retrieved October 12,
  52. ^Samizdat Prize Awards Ordinal Amendment Courage Real Clear Politics. Go 7,

External links